All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Marion Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County |
North Central JV Meet |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/5 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
333 |
317 |
365 |
359 |
1,064 |
308 |
395 |
493 |
842 |
406 |
427 |
361 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
267 |
330 |
359 |
333 |
308 |
395 |
389 |
333 |
358 |
368 |
324 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Marion Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County |
North Central JV Meet |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 21 |
Nate Killeen |
11 |
16:01 |
15:41 |
16:26 |
15:46 |
|
15:51 |
16:08 |
|
|
16:01 |
15:59 |
15:57 |
16:11 |
| 82 |
Hayden Monk |
12 |
16:30 |
|
16:31 |
16:18 |
|
16:17 |
16:37 |
16:49 |
|
16:24 |
16:31 |
16:29 |
|
| 179 |
Owen Osterman |
10 |
16:57 |
17:15 |
|
19:03 |
|
17:10 |
17:33 |
17:21 |
|
17:13 |
17:10 |
16:48 |
|
| 193 |
Henry Deryke |
12 |
17:00 |
16:35 |
16:42 |
16:56 |
|
16:45 |
17:23 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 311 |
Andrew Charbonneau |
11 |
17:24 |
17:05 |
17:15 |
17:28 |
|
17:24 |
17:05 |
17:07 |
|
17:32 |
17:58 |
17:29 |
|
| 377 |
Robert Fitzgerald |
12 |
17:31 |
17:47 |
17:24 |
17:31 |
|
17:18 |
17:28 |
17:33 |
17:26 |
|
17:38 |
17:33 |
|
| 394 |
Gabe Chambers |
12 |
17:34 |
16:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17:47 |
17:44 |
17:26 |
|
| 425 |
Emmett Tuason |
10 |
17:37 |
18:04 |
17:49 |
|
18:06 |
18:20 |
17:59 |
17:59 |
|
17:36 |
17:47 |
17:28 |
|
| 633 |
Grady Hadar |
11 |
17:59 |
17:38 |
17:55 |
17:36 |
|
17:45 |
18:02 |
29:22 |
18:06 |
|
|
|
|
| 761 |
Camden Rhoades |
9 |
18:12 |
|
18:32 |
|
19:23 |
17:36 |
18:31 |
17:48 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 786 |
Jackson Scott |
10 |
18:15 |
18:12 |
18:22 |
18:13 |
|
18:04 |
18:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 885 |
Abel Flessner |
9 |
18:22 |
18:53 |
18:34 |
|
18:32 |
17:56 |
18:25 |
18:24 |
18:17 |
18:14 |
|
|
|
| 1,058 |
Conor Burke |
9 |
18:37 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,143 |
Sawyer Husain |
12 |
18:44 |
|
|
18:27 |
|
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,310 |
Justin Kelly |
10 |
18:56 |
19:00 |
18:58 |
|
18:47 |
20:02 |
18:48 |
|
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Elliott DeRyke |
9 |
19:06 |
18:59 |
19:00 |
|
19:15 |
18:29 |
19:58 |
19:11 |
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alec Hueftle |
10 |
19:23 |
18:42 |
20:54 |
|
18:57 |
|
20:29 |
|
19:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Liell Lloyd-Hostetter |
10 |
19:26 |
19:09 |
|
|
19:45 |
18:54 |
19:28 |
|
19:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
Conor Whaley |
12 |
19:28 |
20:25 |
19:47 |
|
|
19:29 |
|
|
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Max Dennis |
12 |
19:32 |
19:28 |
20:29 |
|
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eli Keubler |
9 |
20:57 |
19:59 |
18:59 |
|
20:37 |
|
21:06 |
21:43 |
22:17 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
8.3 |
241 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
2.7 |
8.0 |
15.6 |
27.2 |
27.5 |
13.2 |
4.1 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.2 |
133 |
|
0.0 |
5.3 |
17.9 |
42.2 |
25.5 |
9.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.2 |
71 |
|
77.3 |
22.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
99.7% |
23.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
| Hayden Monk |
53.5% |
69.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
53.5% |
53.5% |
| Owen Osterman |
1.0% |
97.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
1.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
100% |
8.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.8 |
6.0 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
10.3 |
9.5 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
100% |
29.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
|
99.5% |
| Owen Osterman |
100% |
60.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
68.0% |
| Andrew Charbonneau |
100% |
95.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.7% |
| Robert Fitzgerald |
100% |
104.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.6% |
| Gabe Chambers |
100% |
108.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
| Emmett Tuason |
100% |
112.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
100% |
6.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
3.5 |
11.0 |
21.8 |
13.3 |
10.4 |
9.6 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
100% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
8.5 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Osterman |
100% |
28.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Andrew Charbonneau |
100% |
45.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Robert Fitzgerald |
100% |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Gabe Chambers |
100% |
52.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emmett Tuason |
100% |
54.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
2.1 |
0.5 |
48.3 |
15.5 |
12.2 |
9.5 |
10.2 |
3.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hayden Monk |
7.8 |
|
0.0 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
6.2 |
16.7 |
21.3 |
20.5 |
12.7 |
7.2 |
4.0 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Owen Osterman |
13.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
4.9 |
8.7 |
12.0 |
16.2 |
14.2 |
12.5 |
9.3 |
7.1 |
5.1 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
| Andrew Charbonneau |
21.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
8.8 |
9.6 |
10.7 |
10.4 |
11.0 |
9.3 |
| Robert Fitzgerald |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
7.3 |
9.0 |
10.6 |
11.6 |
| Gabe Chambers |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
7.6 |
8.5 |
11.1 |
| Emmett Tuason |
26.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
6.6 |
8.6 |
|
